JP+ One-Sheet
South Florida
American | 2026
Projected Wins
8.2
Model Profile
#36
JP+ Rank
#38
Off Adj
#39
Def Adj
Overall
+6.1
Offense
+2.9
Defense
+2.3
Win Total Context
8.5
Market
8.2
JP+
7.8
SP+
Bowl Path98%
Fast Start40%
Collapse Risk10%
Path Shape
Soft landing
40% to start 5-1 or better. Bowl path 98%. Collapse risk 10% (6 or fewer wins). Biggest shift Wk10: 89% to 49%.
American Athletic Win Totals
| Team | JP+ | Mkt | SP+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| South Florida | 8.2 | 8.5 | 7.8 |
| Navy | 7.9 | 7.5 | 8.1 |
| Army | 7.6 | 7.5 | 7.0 |
| East Carolina | 7.5 | 7.5 | 7.8 |
| Memphis | 7.4 | 7.5 | 7.5 |
| UTSA | 7.2 | 7.5 | 7.5 |
| Tulsa | 6.6 | 5.5 | 6.3 |
| North Texas | 6.4 | 5.5 | 5.0 |
| Tulane | 6.2 | 7.5 | 6.5 |
| FAU | 6.2 | 5.5 | 6.1 |
| Temple | 6.1 | 5.5 | 6.0 |
| UAB | 4.3 | 3.5 | 3.8 |