JP+ One-Sheet
South Carolina
SEC | 2026
Projected Wins
6.6
Model Profile
#26
JP+ Rank
#48
Off Adj
#18
Def Adj
Overall
+9.7
Offense
+1.8
Defense
+7.1
Win Total Context
6.5
Market
6.6
JP+
6.6
SP+
Bowl Path76%
Fast Start76%
Collapse Risk8%
Path Shape
Early equity
76% to start 4-2 or better. Bowl path 76%. Collapse risk 8% (4 or fewer wins). Schedule is front-loaded by +1.7 wins through the first six. Biggest shift Wk6: 79% to 31%.
SEC Win Totals
| Team | JP+ | Mkt | SP+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Georgia | 9.3 | 9.5 | 9.8 |
| LSU | 8.7 | 8.5 | 8.6 |
| Texas A&M | 8.4 | 8.5 | 8.4 |
| Texas | 8.0 | 9.5 | 8.6 |
| Ole Miss | 7.8 | 8.5 | 7.2 |
| Florida | 7.5 | 7.5 | 7.0 |
| Oklahoma | 7.5 | 7.5 | 7.3 |
| Tennessee | 7.4 | 7.5 | 7.6 |
| Vanderbilt | 6.9 | 5.5 | 6.5 |
| Missouri | 6.8 | 6.5 | 7.3 |
| South Carolina | 6.6 | 6.5 | 6.6 |
| Auburn | 6.5 | 6.5 | 6.4 |
| Mississippi State | 5.1 | 4.5 | 4.5 |