JP+ One-Sheet
South Carolina
SEC | 2026
Projected Wins
6.7Team Thesis
South Carolina Bets On Sellers And Briles To Finish What 2025 Started. LaNorris Sellers is back, and that alone reframes South Carolina's season after a 4-8 finish that never matched the talent on the roster.
Model Profile
#24
JP+ Rank
#47
Offense
#17
Defense
Why JP+ Is Higher
6.5
Market
6.7
JP+
6.5
SP+
JP+ GAP: +0.2 WINS
Roster Snapshot
Roster stock#16
Rated coverage73%
Candidate members85
Rated players62
Season Path
Early equity
Bowl path78%
4-2 start77%
Collapse risk7%
77% to start 4-2 or better. Bowl path 78%. Collapse risk 7% (4 or fewer wins). Schedule is front-loaded by +1.6 wins through the first six. Biggest shift Wk6: 79% to 30%.
Bull Case
8-4If the front seven holds up and the line gels quickly, Sellers and this offense can push well past 6.7 and make good on last year's promise.
Bear Case
5-7If the trench questions linger into October, another middling finish is very much on the table.
SEC Context
| Team | JP+ | Market | SP+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Georgia | 9.2 | 10.5 | 9.9 |
| LSU | 8.7 | 8.5 | 8.5 |
| Texas A&M | 8.5 | 8.5 | 8.5 |
| Texas | 7.9 | 9.5 | 8.2 |
| Ole Miss | 7.8 | 8.5 | 7.2 |
| Missouri | 6.7 | 6.5 | 7.3 |
| South Carolina | 6.7 | 6.5 | 6.5 |
| Auburn | 6.4 | 6.5 | 6.4 |