JP+ One-Sheet
Sam Houston
Conference USA | 2026
Projected Wins
2.9
Model Profile
#136
JP+ Rank
#134
Off Adj
#135
Def Adj
Overall
-21.4
Offense
-10.0
Defense
-8.7
Win Total Context
3.5
Market
2.9
JP+
2.5
SP+
Bowl Path2%
Fast Start32%
Collapse Risk18%
Path Shape
Cliff risk
32% to start 2-4 or better. Bowl path 2%. Collapse risk 18% (1 or fewer wins). Schedule is back-loaded by -0.3 wins through the first six. Biggest shift Wk4: 65% to 1%.
Conference USA Win Totals
| Team | JP+ | Mkt | SP+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Liberty | 8.1 | 8.5 | 8.4 |
| Jacksonville State | 7.3 | 7.5 | 7.7 |
| Western Kentucky | 6.9 | 6.5 | 7.3 |
| Kennesaw State | 6.9 | 6.5 | 7.1 |
| FIU | 6.6 | 6.5 | 6.0 |
| Delaware | 5.8 | 5.5 | 5.5 |
| Missouri State | 5.0 | 4.5 | 3.8 |
| New Mexico State | 4.4 | 4.5 | 4.8 |
| Middle Tennessee | 4.4 | 3.5 | 2.5 |
| Sam Houston | 2.9 | 3.5 | 2.5 |