JP+ One-Sheet
Purdue
Big Ten | 2026
Projected Wins
4.5Team Thesis
Purdue Looks to Climb Out of the Big Ten Cellar Behind Browne and a Reshaped Skill Corps. Purdue is coming off a 2-10 season, and the offseason mission was simple: fix a running game that couldn't move the ball and surround Ryan Browne with enough w…
Model Profile
#71
JP+ Rank
#59
Offense
#72
Defense
Why JP+ Is Higher
3.5
Market
4.5
JP+
3.4
SP+
Roster Snapshot
Season Path
Early equity
89% to start 2-4 or better. Bowl path 20%. Collapse risk 1% (1 or fewer wins). Schedule is front-loaded by +1.1 wins through the first six. Biggest shift Wk13: 49% to 6%.
Bull Case
6-6If Waseem and Townsend give Browne functional perimeter targets and Modozie generates consistent pressure off the edge, Purdue can push toward t…
Bear Case
3-9If the receiving corps takes time to gel and the run game still lags, another difficult season is the more likely outcome.
Big Ten Context
| Team | JP+ | Market | SP+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Indiana | 9.8 | 10.5 | 10.0 |
| Oregon | 9.7 | 10.5 | 10.2 |
| Ohio State | 9.5 | 9.5 | 10.2 |
| Penn State | 8.8 | 9.5 | 9.0 |
| Iowa | 7.8 | 7.5 | 8.0 |
| Rutgers | 5.5 | 5.5 | 5.4 |
| Purdue | 4.5 | 3.5 | 3.4 |
| Michigan State | 4.3 | 4.5 | 4.6 |