JP+ One-Sheet
Purdue
Big Ten | 2026
Projected Wins
4.4
Model Profile
#69
JP+ Rank
#57
Off Adj
#70
Def Adj
Overall
+1.0
Offense
+0.8
Defense
0.0
Win Total Context
3.5
Market
4.4
JP+
3.4
SP+
Bowl Path18%
Fast Start88%
Collapse Risk2%
Path Shape
Early equity
88% to start 2-4 or better. Bowl path 18%. Collapse risk 2% (1 or fewer wins). Schedule is front-loaded by +1.1 wins through the first six. Biggest shift Wk2: 99% to 55%.
Big Ten Win Totals
| Team | JP+ | Mkt | SP+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Indiana | 9.8 | 10.5 | 9.9 |
| Oregon | 9.6 | 10.5 | 10.2 |
| Ohio State | 9.6 | 9.5 | 10.2 |
| Penn State | 8.9 | 8.5 | 9.1 |
| Iowa | 8.2 | 7.5 | 8.0 |
| Washington | 7.6 | 7.5 | 7.8 |
| USC | 7.4 | 8.5 | 7.8 |
| UCLA | 7.0 | 6.5 | 6.0 |
| Rutgers | 5.6 | 5.5 | 5.4 |
| Northwestern | 5.5 | 5.5 | 5.4 |
| Purdue | 4.4 | 3.5 | 3.4 |
| Michigan State | 4.3 | 4.5 | 4.5 |