JP+ One-Sheet
Ole Miss
SEC | 2026
Projected Wins
7.8Team Thesis
Ole Miss Moves Forward Under Pete Golding With Chambliss Back at the Controls. The defining story in Oxford is succession.
Model Profile
#7
JP+ Rank
#3
Offense
#21
Defense
Why JP+ Is Lower
8.5
Market
7.8
JP+
7.2
SP+
JP+ GAP: -0.7 WINS
Roster Snapshot
Roster stock#12
Rated coverage88%
Candidate members81
Rated players71
Season Path
Bowl live
Bowl path95%
5-1 start35%
Collapse risk16%
35% to start 5-1 or better. Bowl path 95%. Collapse risk 16% (6 or fewer wins). Schedule is front-loaded by +0.2 wins through the first six. Biggest shift Wk3: 99% to 54%.
Bull Case
9-3If Chambliss plays like the proven commodity he looked like in relief last season and the retooled receiver corps clicks quickly, this group can…
Bear Case
6-6If the line reset lingers or the secondary's new pieces take time to gel, 7.8 could prove to be the ceiling rather than the floor.
SEC Context
| Team | JP+ | Market | SP+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Georgia | 9.2 | 10.5 | 9.9 |
| LSU | 8.7 | 8.5 | 8.5 |
| Texas A&M | 8.5 | 8.5 | 8.5 |
| Texas | 7.9 | 9.5 | 8.2 |
| Ole Miss | 7.8 | 8.5 | 7.2 |
| Florida | 7.6 | 7.5 | 7.0 |
| Oklahoma | 7.6 | 8.5 | 7.5 |
| Tennessee | 7.4 | 7.5 | 7.9 |