JP+ One-Sheet
North Texas
American | 2026
Projected Wins
6.4
Model Profile
#90
JP+ Rank
#40
Off Adj
#117
Def Adj
Overall
-3.1
Offense
+2.7
Defense
-4.2
Win Total Context
5.5
Market
6.4
JP+
5.0
SP+
Bowl Path73%
Fast Start77%
Collapse Risk2%
Path Shape
Cliff risk
77% to start 3-3 or better. Bowl path 73%. Collapse risk 2% (3 or fewer wins). Biggest shift Wk8: 91% to 25%.
American Athletic Win Totals
| Team | JP+ | Mkt | SP+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| South Florida | 8.2 | 8.5 | 7.8 |
| Navy | 7.9 | 7.5 | 8.1 |
| Army | 7.6 | 7.5 | 7.0 |
| East Carolina | 7.5 | 7.5 | 7.8 |
| Memphis | 7.4 | 7.5 | 7.5 |
| UTSA | 7.2 | 7.5 | 7.5 |
| Tulsa | 6.6 | 5.5 | 6.3 |
| North Texas | 6.4 | 5.5 | 5.0 |
| Tulane | 6.2 | 7.5 | 6.5 |
| FAU | 6.2 | 5.5 | 6.1 |
| Temple | 6.1 | 5.5 | 6.0 |
| UAB | 4.3 | 3.5 | 3.8 |