JP+ One-Sheet

Nebraska

Big Ten | 2026

Projected Wins

6.8

Team Thesis

Nebraska Needs a New Signature Strength to Match Its New Infrastructure. Dylan Raiola is gone, off to Oregon after leaving 74.6 PPA of production on the table, and Nebraska responded to that loss by pulling Anthony Colandrea out of the portal from U…

Model Profile

#27

JP+ Rank

#14

Offense

#66

Defense

+10.0

Overall

+7.4

Offense

+0.2

Defense

Why JP+ Is Higher

6.5

Market

6.8

JP+

6.2

SP+

JP+ GAP: +0.3 WINS

Roster Snapshot

Roster stock#22

Rated coverage81%

Candidate members86

Rated players70

Season Path

Early equity

Bowl path82%

4-2 start88%

Collapse risk5%

88% to start 4-2 or better. Bowl path 82%. Collapse risk 5% (4 or fewer wins). Schedule is front-loaded by +2.2 wins through the first six. Biggest shift Wk12: 64% to 19%.

Bull Case

8-4

If Colandrea plays like his UNLV tape suggested and the defense holds steady under Aurich, this team clears 6.8 wins with room to spare.

Bear Case

5-7

If the quarterback competition lingers or the offensive line's 65% returning production isn't enough to stabilize things up front, this profile…

Big Ten Context

Team	JP+	Market	SP+
Indiana	9.8	10.5	10.0
Oregon	9.7	10.5	10.2
Ohio State	9.5	9.5	10.2
Penn State	8.8	9.5	9.0
Iowa	7.8	7.5	8.0
UCLA	7.1	6.5	5.9
Nebraska	6.8	6.5	6.2
Illinois	6.5	6.5	7.1