JP+ One-Sheet
Navy
American | 2026
Projected Wins
7.9
Model Profile
#45
JP+ Rank
#39
Off Adj
#72
Def Adj
Overall
+4.3
Offense
+2.8
Defense
-0.1
Win Total Context
7.5
Market
7.9
JP+
8.1
SP+
Bowl Path96%
Fast Start76%
Collapse Risk4%
Path Shape
Early equity
76% to start 4-2 or better. Bowl path 96%. Collapse risk 4% (5 or fewer wins). Schedule is front-loaded by +0.4 wins through the first six. Biggest shift Wk9: 76% to 13%.
American Athletic Win Totals
| Team | JP+ | Mkt | SP+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| South Florida | 8.2 | 8.5 | 7.8 |
| Navy | 7.9 | 7.5 | 8.1 |
| Army | 7.6 | 7.5 | 7.0 |
| East Carolina | 7.5 | 7.5 | 7.8 |
| Memphis | 7.4 | 7.5 | 7.5 |
| UTSA | 7.2 | 7.5 | 7.5 |
| Tulsa | 6.6 | 5.5 | 6.3 |
| North Texas | 6.4 | 5.5 | 5.0 |
| Tulane | 6.2 | 7.5 | 6.5 |
| FAU | 6.2 | 5.5 | 6.1 |
| Temple | 6.1 | 5.5 | 6.0 |
| UAB | 4.3 | 3.5 | 3.8 |