JP+ One-Sheet

Michigan

Big Ten | 2026

Projected Wins

7.1

Team Thesis

Kyle Whittingham Inherits Bryce Underwood and a Roster Built to Blend Two Physical Traditions. Kyle Whittingham takes over in Ann Arbor with the rarest gift a new coach can inherit: a returning franchise quarterback.

Model Profile

#17

JP+ Rank

#17

Offense

#24

Defense

+14.4

Overall

+7.2

Offense

+5.0

Defense

Why JP+ Is Lower

8.5

Market

7.1

JP+

7.4

SP+

JP+ GAP: -1.4 WINS

Roster Snapshot

Roster stock#13

Rated coverage82%

Candidate members90

Rated players74

Season Path

Needs fast start

Bowl path88%

5-1 start41%

Collapse risk31%

41% to start 5-1 or better. Bowl path 88%. Collapse risk 31% (6 or fewer wins). Schedule is front-loaded by +1.2 wins through the first six. Biggest shift Wk11: 87% to 19%.

Bull Case

9-3

If the offensive line reset holds and the edge rotation finds its footing quickly, this group is built for double-digit wins and a real Big Ten…

Bear Case

6-6

If not, 2026 looks like a transition year that still ends respectably behind Underwood's arm.

Big Ten Context

Team	JP+	Market	SP+
Indiana	9.8	10.5	10.0
Oregon	9.7	10.5	10.2
Ohio State	9.5	9.5	10.2
Penn State	8.8	9.5	9.0
Iowa	7.8	7.5	8.0
Washington	7.7	7.5	7.8
USC	7.4	8.5	7.8
Michigan	7.1	8.5	7.4