JP+ One-Sheet
Miami
ACC | 2026
Projected Wins
9.6
Model Profile
#11
JP+ Rank
#14
Off Adj
#7
Def Adj
Overall
+18.0
Offense
+7.1
Defense
+10.0
Win Total Context
10.5
Market
9.6
JP+
9.8
SP+
Bowl Path100%
Fast Start33%
Collapse Risk15%
Path Shape
Bowl live
33% to start 6-0 or better. Bowl path 100%. Collapse risk 15% (8 or fewer wins). Schedule is front-loaded by +0.4 wins through the first six. Biggest shift Wk10: 81% to 38%.
ACC Win Totals
| Team | JP+ | Mkt | SP+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Miami | 9.6 | 10.5 | 9.8 |
| Virginia | 8.0 | 8.5 | 7.3 |
| Clemson | 7.9 | 7.5 | 7.8 |
| SMU | 7.8 | 8.5 | 8.0 |
| Louisville | 7.7 | 8.5 | 7.9 |
| NC State | 7.1 | 7.5 | 6.8 |
| Florida State | 7.1 | 5.5 | 6.6 |
| Virginia Tech | 7.0 | 6.5 | 7.4 |
| Pitt | 6.5 | 7.5 | 6.8 |
| Duke | 6.3 | 5.5 | 6.5 |
| Georgia Tech | 6.3 | 6.5 | 6.1 |
| Cal | 5.9 | 6.5 | 6.1 |