
JP+ One-Sheet
Maryland
Big Ten | 2026
Projected Wins
6.0
Model Profile
#59
JP+ Rank
#83
Off Adj
#36
Def Adj
Overall
+2.0
Offense
-1.2
Defense
+2.6
Win Total Context
5.5
Market
6.0
JP+
5.8
SP+
Bowl Path63%
Fast Start73%
Collapse Risk5%
Path Shape
Soft landing
73% to start 3-3 or better. Bowl path 63%. Collapse risk 5% (3 or fewer wins). Schedule is front-loaded by +0.2 wins through the first six. Biggest shift Wk12: 61% to 22%.
Big Ten Win Totals
| Team | JP+ | Mkt | SP+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Indiana | 9.8 | 10.5 | 9.9 |
| Oregon | 9.6 | 10.5 | 10.2 |
| Ohio State | 9.6 | 9.5 | 10.2 |
| Penn State | 8.9 | 8.5 | 9.1 |
| Iowa | 8.2 | 7.5 | 8.0 |
| Washington | 7.6 | 7.5 | 7.8 |
| USC | 7.4 | 8.5 | 7.8 |
| UCLA | 7.0 | 6.5 | 6.0 |
| Nebraska | 6.7 | 6.5 | 6.1 |
| Illinois | 6.6 | 6.5 | 7.0 |
| Maryland | 6.0 | 5.5 | 5.8 |
| Wisconsin | 6.0 | 6.5 | 5.4 |
| Minnesota | 5.9 | 6.5 | 6.0 |