JP+ One-Sheet
Maryland
Big Ten | 2026
Projected Wins
6.1Team Thesis
Maryland Keeps Malik Washington, Now Must Build the Run Game Around Him. Maryland's offseason had one clear organizing principle: don't lose Malik Washington.
Model Profile
#38
JP+ Rank
#64
Offense
#32
Defense
Why JP+ Is Higher
5.5
Market
6.1
JP+
6.0
SP+
JP+ GAP: +0.6 WINS
Roster Snapshot
Roster stock#53
Rated coverage79%
Candidate members68
Rated players54
Season Path
Soft landing
Bowl path64%
3-3 start74%
Collapse risk5%
74% to start 3-3 or better. Bowl path 64%. Collapse risk 5% (3 or fewer wins). Schedule is front-loaded by +0.2 wins through the first six. Biggest shift Wk12: 60% to 22%.
Bull Case
8-4If Worthy and the line give Washington a real complement on the ground and the defense holds its stable form, Maryland pushes comfortably past t…
Bear Case
5-7If the running game stays thin and special teams keeps costing field position, the Terps hover right around it, leaning on Washington's arm to s…
Big Ten Context
| Team | JP+ | Market | SP+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Indiana | 9.8 | 10.5 | 10.0 |
| Oregon | 9.7 | 10.5 | 10.2 |
| Ohio State | 9.5 | 9.5 | 10.2 |
| Penn State | 8.8 | 9.5 | 9.0 |
| Iowa | 7.8 | 7.5 | 8.0 |
| Wisconsin | 6.1 | 6.5 | 5.7 |
| Maryland | 6.1 | 5.5 | 6.0 |
| Minnesota | 5.8 | 6.5 | 6.1 |