JP+ One-Sheet

Kansas

Big 12 | 2026

Projected Wins

6.4

Team Thesis

Kansas Rebuilds Around a New Backfield and an Unproven Quarterback. Kansas spent the offseason reshaping its skill positions more than any other unit, and that's the story here.

Model Profile

#55

JP+ Rank

#29

Offense

#82

Defense

+4.2

Overall

+4.5

Offense

-0.9

Defense

Why JP+ Is Higher

5.5

Market

6.4

JP+

5.9

SP+

JP+ GAP: +0.9 WINS

Roster Snapshot

Roster stock#59

Rated coverage71%

Candidate members80

Rated players57

Season Path

Early equity

Bowl path72%

3-3 start83%

Collapse risk3%

83% to start 3-3 or better. Bowl path 72%. Collapse risk 3% (3 or fewer wins). Schedule is front-loaded by +0.4 wins through the first six. Biggest shift Wk6: 95% to 24%.

Bull Case

8-4

If the new signal-caller plays like the arrivals around him project and the defense's continuity translates into steadier weekly performance, th…

Bear Case

5-7

If the quarterback answer takes time to sort out, the shakier road trips could turn a promising portal class into another season of near-misses.

Big 12 Context

Team	JP+	Market	SP+
Texas Tech	10.7	10.5	10.6
Utah	8.6	8.5	8.0
BYU	7.6	8.5	8.8
Kansas State	7.4	8.5	8.1
Arizona	7.2	7.5	7.6
TCU	6.5	6.5	7.4
Kansas	6.4	5.5	5.9
Cincinnati	6.4	5.5	5.8