JP+ One-Sheet
Jacksonville State
Conference USA | 2026
Projected Wins
7.3
Model Profile
#100
JP+ Rank
#89
Off Adj
#111
Def Adj
Overall
-5.9
Offense
-2.1
Defense
-3.6
Win Total Context
7.5
Market
7.3
JP+
7.7
SP+
Bowl Path89%
Fast Start54%
Collapse Risk11%
Path Shape
Cliff risk
54% to start 4-2 or better. Bowl path 89%. Collapse risk 11% (5 or fewer wins). Schedule is back-loaded by -0.2 wins through the first six. Biggest shift Wk11: 89% to 37%.
Conference USA Win Totals
| Team | JP+ | Mkt | SP+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Liberty | 8.1 | 8.5 | 8.4 |
| Jacksonville State | 7.3 | 7.5 | 7.7 |
| Western Kentucky | 6.9 | 6.5 | 7.3 |
| Kennesaw State | 6.9 | 6.5 | 7.1 |
| FIU | 6.6 | 6.5 | 6.0 |
| Delaware | 5.8 | 5.5 | 5.5 |
| Missouri State | 5.0 | 4.5 | 3.8 |
| New Mexico State | 4.4 | 4.5 | 4.8 |
| Middle Tennessee | 4.4 | 3.5 | 2.5 |
| Sam Houston | 2.9 | 3.5 | 2.5 |