JP+ One-Sheet
Iowa
Big Ten | 2026
Projected Wins
8.2
Model Profile
#16
JP+ Rank
#44
Off Adj
#8
Def Adj
Overall
+14.3
Offense
+2.3
Defense
+9.8
Win Total Context
7.5
Market
8.2
JP+
8.0
SP+
Bowl Path97%
Fast Start70%
Collapse Risk3%
Path Shape
Cliff risk
70% to start 4-2 or better. Bowl path 97%. Collapse risk 3% (5 or fewer wins). Schedule is back-loaded by -0.3 wins through the first six. Biggest shift Wk4: 99% to 46%.
Big Ten Win Totals
| Team | JP+ | Mkt | SP+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Indiana | 9.8 | 10.5 | 9.9 |
| Oregon | 9.6 | 10.5 | 10.2 |
| Ohio State | 9.6 | 9.5 | 10.2 |
| Penn State | 8.9 | 8.5 | 9.1 |
| Iowa | 8.2 | 7.5 | 8.0 |
| Washington | 7.6 | 7.5 | 7.8 |
| USC | 7.4 | 8.5 | 7.8 |
| UCLA | 7.0 | 6.5 | 6.0 |
| Michigan | 7.0 | 8.5 | 7.5 |
| Nebraska | 6.7 | 6.5 | 6.1 |
| Illinois | 6.6 | 6.5 | 7.0 |
| Maryland | 6.0 | 5.5 | 5.8 |