JP+ One-Sheet

Georgia Tech

ACC | 2026

Projected Wins

6.2

Team Thesis

Georgia Tech Rebuilds Its Backfield Around Two Transfers and Bets Big on Offensive Continuity. Georgia Tech's offseason theme is simple: replace Haynes King with two portal additions who might make the loss easier to absorb than expected.

Model Profile

#45

JP+ Rank

#32

Offense

#58

Defense

+5.4

Overall

+4.3

Offense

+0.5

Defense

Why JP+ Is Lower

6.5

Market

6.2

JP+

6.1

SP+

JP+ GAP: -0.3 WINS

Roster Snapshot

Roster stock#36

Rated coverage80%

Candidate members74

Rated players59

Season Path

Cliff risk

Bowl path68%

4-2 start51%

Collapse risk13%

51% to start 4-2 or better. Bowl path 68%. Collapse risk 13% (4 or fewer wins). Schedule is front-loaded by +0.8 wins through the first six. Biggest shift Wk13: 66% to 10%.

Bull Case

8-4

If Mendoza settles in quickly and the defense holds steady, this group is built for real ACC contention behind Haynes' workload.

Bear Case

5-7

If the quarterback transition drags, 6.2 wins looks about right and a middle-tier bowl is the realistic outcome.

ACC Context

Team	JP+	Market	SP+
Miami	9.8	10.5	10.0
Virginia	8.1	7.5	7.8
SMU	8.0	8.5	8.3
Louisville	7.7	8.5	7.8
Clemson	7.6	7.5	7.9
Duke	6.3	5.5	6.4
Georgia Tech	6.2	6.5	6.1
Cal	6.1	6.5	5.9