JP+ One-Sheet
Florida
SEC | 2026
Projected Wins
7.5
Model Profile
#15
JP+ Rank
#33
Off Adj
#16
Def Adj
Overall
+14.5
Offense
+3.7
Defense
+7.5
Win Total Context
7.5
Market
7.5
JP+
7.0
SP+
Bowl Path91%
Fast Start78%
Collapse Risk9%
Path Shape
Early equity
78% to start 4-2 or better. Bowl path 91%. Collapse risk 9% (5 or fewer wins). Schedule is front-loaded by +1.0 wins through the first six. Biggest shift Wk3: 99% to 56%.
SEC Win Totals
| Team | JP+ | Mkt | SP+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Georgia | 9.3 | 9.5 | 9.8 |
| LSU | 8.7 | 8.5 | 8.6 |
| Texas A&M | 8.4 | 8.5 | 8.4 |
| Texas | 8.0 | 9.5 | 8.6 |
| Ole Miss | 7.8 | 8.5 | 7.2 |
| Florida | 7.5 | 7.5 | 7.0 |
| Oklahoma | 7.5 | 7.5 | 7.3 |
| Tennessee | 7.4 | 7.5 | 7.6 |
| Alabama | 7.4 | 8.5 | 8.1 |
| Vanderbilt | 6.9 | 5.5 | 6.5 |
| Missouri | 6.8 | 6.5 | 7.3 |
| South Carolina | 6.6 | 6.5 | 6.6 |