JP+ One-Sheet
FIU
Conference USA | 2026
Projected Wins
6.6
Model Profile
#109
JP+ Rank
#114
Off Adj
#102
Def Adj
Overall
-7.6
Offense
-4.3
Defense
-2.6
Win Total Context
6.5
Market
6.6
JP+
6.0
SP+
Bowl Path79%
Fast Start39%
Collapse Risk7%
Path Shape
Cliff risk
39% to start 4-2 or better. Bowl path 79%. Collapse risk 7% (4 or fewer wins). Schedule is back-loaded by -0.3 wins through the first six. Biggest shift Wk9: 78% to 31%.
Conference USA Win Totals
| Team | JP+ | Mkt | SP+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Liberty | 8.1 | 8.5 | 8.4 |
| Jacksonville State | 7.3 | 7.5 | 7.7 |
| Western Kentucky | 6.9 | 6.5 | 7.3 |
| Kennesaw State | 6.9 | 6.5 | 7.1 |
| FIU | 6.6 | 6.5 | 6.0 |
| Delaware | 5.8 | 5.5 | 5.5 |
| Missouri State | 5.0 | 4.5 | 3.8 |
| New Mexico State | 4.4 | 4.5 | 4.8 |
| Middle Tennessee | 4.4 | 3.5 | 2.5 |
| Sam Houston | 2.9 | 3.5 | 2.5 |