JP+ One-Sheet
East Carolina
American | 2026
Projected Wins
7.5
Model Profile
#71
JP+ Rank
#75
Off Adj
#47
Def Adj
Overall
+0.4
Offense
-0.5
Defense
+1.4
Win Total Context
7.5
Market
7.5
JP+
7.8
SP+
Bowl Path93%
Fast Start75%
Collapse Risk7%
Path Shape
Early equity
75% to start 4-2 or better. Bowl path 93%. Collapse risk 7% (5 or fewer wins). Schedule is front-loaded by +0.5 wins through the first six. Biggest shift Wk12: 89% to 37%.
American Athletic Win Totals
| Team | JP+ | Mkt | SP+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| South Florida | 8.2 | 8.5 | 7.8 |
| Navy | 7.9 | 7.5 | 8.1 |
| Army | 7.6 | 7.5 | 7.0 |
| East Carolina | 7.5 | 7.5 | 7.8 |
| Memphis | 7.4 | 7.5 | 7.5 |
| UTSA | 7.2 | 7.5 | 7.5 |
| Tulsa | 6.6 | 5.5 | 6.3 |
| North Texas | 6.4 | 5.5 | 5.0 |
| Tulane | 6.2 | 7.5 | 6.5 |
| FAU | 6.2 | 5.5 | 6.1 |
| Temple | 6.1 | 5.5 | 6.0 |
| UAB | 4.3 | 3.5 | 3.8 |