JP+ One-Sheet
Delaware
Conference USA | 2026
Projected Wins
6.1Team Thesis
Delaware Leans on a Settled Defense While the Offense Reshuffles Around Nick Minicucci. Delaware's offseason theme is concentration risk on offense wrapped around a stable defensive core.
Model Profile
#110
JP+ Rank
#102
Offense
#121
Defense
Why JP+ Is Lower
6.5
Market
6.1
JP+
5.9
SP+
JP+ GAP: -0.4 WINS
Roster Snapshot
Roster stock#131
Rated coverage46%
Candidate members68
Rated players31
Season Path
Cliff risk
Bowl path68%
4-2 start26%
Collapse risk13%
26% to start 4-2 or better. Bowl path 68%. Collapse risk 13% (4 or fewer wins). Schedule is back-loaded by -0.5 wins through the first six. Biggest shift Wk2: 82% to 8%.
Bull Case
8-4If Graves and Roberts integrate fast and the offensive line holds up its end, Delaware pushes past the 5.7 baseline.
Bear Case
5-7If the receiving corps takes time to gel, the offense drags the whole operation back toward the floor of this projection.
Conference USA Context
| Team | JP+ | Market | SP+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Liberty | 8.2 | 8.5 | 8.9 |
| Jacksonville State | 7.5 | 7.5 | 8.0 |
| Western Kentucky | 6.9 | 6.5 | 7.1 |
| FIU | 6.6 | 6.5 | 6.2 |
| Kennesaw State | 6.6 | -- | 6.6 |
| Delaware | 6.1 | 6.5 | 5.9 |
| Missouri State | 5.0 | 3.5 | 4.1 |
| Middle Tennessee | 4.3 | 3.5 | 3.0 |