JP+ One-Sheet
Colorado State
Pac-12 | 2026
Projected Wins
4.8
Model Profile
#107
JP+ Rank
#94
Off Adj
#118
Def Adj
Overall
-7.0
Offense
-2.5
Defense
-4.3
Win Total Context
3.5
Market
4.8
JP+
4.4
SP+
Bowl Path28%
Fast Start92%
Collapse Risk1%
Path Shape
Early equity
92% to start 2-4 or better. Bowl path 28%. Collapse risk 1% (1 or fewer wins). Schedule is front-loaded by +1.2 wins through the first six. Biggest shift Wk3: 92% to 17%.
Pac-12 Win Totals
| Team | JP+ | Mkt | SP+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| San Diego State | 6.9 | 6.5 | 6.5 |
| Boise State | 6.9 | 7.5 | 8.0 |
| Fresno State | 6.1 | 6.5 | 6.3 |
| Texas State | 5.7 | 5.5 | 5.3 |
| Washington State | 5.1 | 4.5 | 4.5 |
| Utah State | 4.8 | 4.5 | 4.3 |
| Colorado State | 4.8 | 3.5 | 4.4 |
| Oregon State | 4.6 | 3.5 | 5.0 |