JP+ One-Sheet

Colorado

Big 12 | 2026

Projected Wins

5.7

Team Thesis

Colorado's 2026 Season Is a Direct Test of Whether the Promised Changes Actually Show Up on the Field. After a blowout loss defined last season's collapse, Sanders promised changes were coming, and this offseason delivered them in volume rather than…

Model Profile

#46

JP+ Rank

#54

Offense

#49

Defense

+5.4

Overall

+1.4

Offense

+1.1

Defense

Why JP+ Is Higher

4.5

Market

5.7

JP+

4.7

SP+

JP+ GAP: +1.2 WINS

Roster Snapshot

Roster stock#26

Rated coverage65%

Candidate members75

Rated players49

Season Path

Cliff risk

Bowl path54%

3-3 start57%

Collapse risk2%

57% to start 3-3 or better. Bowl path 54%. Collapse risk 2% (2 or fewer wins). Schedule is back-loaded by -0.2 wins through the first six. Biggest shift Wk3: 96% to 41%.

Bull Case

7-5

If Marion's offense clicks with Moore and Scudero as focal points and Marve stabilizes the front seven, Colorado threatens to outperform its rec…

Bear Case

4-8

If the defensive attrition proves too costly and the quarterback race lingers unresolved into September, a third straight difficult season is ve…

Big 12 Context

Team	JP+	Market	SP+
Texas Tech	10.7	10.5	10.6
Utah	8.6	8.5	8.0
BYU	7.6	8.5	8.8
Kansas State	7.4	8.5	8.1
Arizona	7.2	7.5	7.6
Iowa State	5.9	4.5	5.1
Colorado	5.7	4.5	4.7
West Virginia	5.4	5.5	4.9