JP+ One-Sheet
Colorado
Big 12 | 2026
Projected Wins
5.8
Model Profile
#63
JP+ Rank
#66
Off Adj
#66
Def Adj
Overall
+1.7
Offense
+0.1
Defense
+0.1
Win Total Context
4.5
Market
5.8
JP+
4.6
SP+
Bowl Path57%
Fast Start60%
Collapse Risk2%
Path Shape
Cliff risk
60% to start 3-3 or better. Bowl path 57%. Collapse risk 2% (2 or fewer wins). Schedule is back-loaded by -0.2 wins through the first six. Biggest shift Wk3: 97% to 46%.
Big 12 Win Totals
| Team | JP+ | Mkt | SP+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Texas Tech | 10.7 | 10.5 | 10.7 |
| Utah | 8.5 | 8.5 | 8.3 |
| BYU | 7.6 | 8.5 | 8.7 |
| Kansas State | 7.2 | 8.5 | 8.2 |
| Arizona | 7.1 | 7.5 | 7.6 |
| UCF | 6.8 | 5.5 | 6.0 |
| TCU | 6.6 | 6.5 | 7.1 |
| Kansas | 6.6 | 6.5 | 5.8 |
| Oklahoma State | 6.1 | 6.5 | 6.5 |
| Iowa State | 6.0 | 4.5 | 5.2 |
| Colorado | 5.8 | 4.5 | 4.6 |
| West Virginia | 5.5 | 5.5 | 5.2 |