JP+ One-Sheet
Coastal Carolina
Sun Belt | 2026
Projected Wins
5.0
Model Profile
#118
JP+ Rank
#118
Off Adj
#121
Def Adj
Overall
-11.1
Offense
-5.4
Defense
-5.2
Win Total Context
4.5
Market
5.0
JP+
4.9
SP+
Bowl Path35%
Fast Start45%
Collapse Risk6%
Path Shape
Cliff risk
45% to start 3-3 or better. Bowl path 35%. Collapse risk 6% (2 or fewer wins). Schedule is back-loaded by -0.1 wins through the first six. Biggest shift Wk3: 80% to 35%.
Sun Belt Win Totals
| Team | JP+ | Mkt | SP+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| James Madison | 7.6 | 8.5 | 8.4 |
| Marshall | 7.4 | 7.5 | 7.7 |
| Arkansas State | 7.3 | 5.5 | 7.0 |
| Louisiana | 6.8 | 7.5 | 7.7 |
| Appalachian State | 6.7 | 5.5 | 6.0 |
| Troy | 6.6 | 6.5 | 7.4 |
| Old Dominion | 6.4 | 7.5 | 7.2 |
| Louisiana Tech | 6.3 | 5.5 | 6.2 |
| Georgia Southern | 6.1 | 4.5 | 5.7 |
| South Alabama | 5.7 | 5.5 | 5.5 |
| Coastal Carolina | 5.0 | 4.5 | 4.9 |
| Southern Miss | 4.8 | 3.5 | 2.6 |
| Georgia State | 3.8 | 3.5 | 2.3 |