JP+ One-Sheet
Charlotte
American | 2026
Projected Wins
2.4
Model Profile
#135
JP+ Rank
#136
Off Adj
#130
Def Adj
Overall
-20.9
Offense
-10.9
Defense
-7.6
Win Total Context
2.5
Market
2.4
JP+
1.0
SP+
Bowl Path1%
Fast Start43%
Collapse Risk3%
Path Shape
Cliff risk
43% to start 2-4 or better. Bowl path 1%. Collapse risk 3% (0 or fewer wins). Schedule is front-loaded by +0.7 wins through the first six. Biggest shift Wk2: 86% to 1%.
American Athletic Win Totals
| Team | JP+ | Mkt | SP+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| South Florida | 8.2 | 8.5 | 7.8 |
| Navy | 7.9 | 7.5 | 8.1 |
| Army | 7.6 | 7.5 | 7.0 |
| East Carolina | 7.5 | 7.5 | 7.8 |
| Memphis | 7.4 | 7.5 | 7.5 |
| UTSA | 7.2 | 7.5 | 7.5 |
| Tulsa | 6.6 | 5.5 | 6.3 |
| North Texas | 6.4 | 5.5 | 5.0 |
| UAB | 4.3 | 3.5 | 3.8 |
| Rice | 3.9 | 3.5 | 3.6 |
| Charlotte | 2.4 | 2.5 | 1.0 |