JP+ One-Sheet
Auburn
SEC | 2026
Projected Wins
6.5
Model Profile
#25
JP+ Rank
#56
Off Adj
#15
Def Adj
Overall
+10.4
Offense
+0.9
Defense
+8.0
Win Total Context
6.5
Market
6.5
JP+
6.4
SP+
Bowl Path74%
Fast Start39%
Collapse Risk9%
Path Shape
Cliff risk
39% to start 4-2 or better. Bowl path 74%. Collapse risk 9% (4 or fewer wins). Schedule is back-loaded by -0.1 wins through the first six. Biggest shift Wk13: 99% to 34%.
SEC Win Totals
| Team | JP+ | Mkt | SP+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Georgia | 9.3 | 9.5 | 9.8 |
| LSU | 8.7 | 8.5 | 8.6 |
| Texas A&M | 8.4 | 8.5 | 8.4 |
| Texas | 8.0 | 9.5 | 8.6 |
| Ole Miss | 7.8 | 8.5 | 7.2 |
| Florida | 7.5 | 7.5 | 7.0 |
| Oklahoma | 7.5 | 7.5 | 7.3 |
| Tennessee | 7.4 | 7.5 | 7.6 |
| Missouri | 6.8 | 6.5 | 7.3 |
| South Carolina | 6.6 | 6.5 | 6.6 |
| Auburn | 6.5 | 6.5 | 6.4 |
| Mississippi State | 5.1 | 4.5 | 4.5 |
| Arkansas | 4.8 | 4.5 | 4.3 |