JP+ One-Sheet

Arkansas

SEC | 2026

Projected Wins

4.7

Team Thesis

Arkansas Hands Silverfield an Offense-First Roster and a Defense That Needs Rebuilding From Scratch. Ryan Silverfield arrives from Memphis with a track record of building efficient, modern offenses, and Arkansas has handed him the pieces to do exact…

Model Profile

#49

JP+ Rank

#19

Offense

#87

Defense

+5.1

Overall

+6.9

Offense

-1.5

Defense

Why JP+ Is Higher

3.5

Market

4.7

JP+

4.4

SP+

JP+ GAP: +1.2 WINS

Roster Snapshot

Roster stock#27

Rated coverage76%

Candidate members83

Rated players63

Season Path

Early equity

Bowl path24%

2-4 start93%

Collapse risk1%

93% to start 2-4 or better. Bowl path 24%. Collapse risk 1% (1 or fewer wins). Schedule is front-loaded by +0.9 wins through the first six. Biggest shift Wk2: 99% to 25%.

Bull Case

6-6

If the receiver additions click quickly and the defense finds even average competence, this group can push past the projection and contend for a…

Bear Case

3-9

If the secondary issues linger and the quarterback competition takes time to settle, Arkansas is looking at another long season in Silverfield's…

SEC Context

Team	JP+	Market	SP+
Georgia	9.2	10.5	9.9
LSU	8.7	8.5	8.5
Texas A&M	8.5	8.5	8.5
Texas	7.9	9.5	8.2
Ole Miss	7.8	8.5	7.2
Mississippi State	5.2	4.5	4.7
Arkansas	4.7	3.5	4.4
Kentucky	4.5	4.5	4.5