JP+ One-Sheet
Arizona
Big 12 | 2026
Projected Wins
7.1
Model Profile
#34
JP+ Rank
#49
Off Adj
#23
Def Adj
Overall
+6.7
Offense
+1.5
Defense
+5.0
Win Total Context
7.5
Market
7.1
JP+
7.6
SP+
Bowl Path87%
Fast Start77%
Collapse Risk13%
Path Shape
Early equity
77% to start 4-2 or better. Bowl path 87%. Collapse risk 13% (5 or fewer wins). Schedule is front-loaded by +1.3 wins through the first six. Biggest shift Wk2: 98% to 35%.
Big 12 Win Totals
| Team | JP+ | Mkt | SP+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Texas Tech | 10.7 | 10.5 | 10.7 |
| Utah | 8.5 | 8.5 | 8.3 |
| BYU | 7.6 | 8.5 | 8.7 |
| Kansas State | 7.2 | 8.5 | 8.2 |
| Arizona | 7.1 | 7.5 | 7.6 |
| UCF | 6.8 | 5.5 | 6.0 |
| TCU | 6.6 | 6.5 | 7.1 |
| Kansas | 6.6 | 6.5 | 5.8 |
| Cincinnati | 6.5 | 5.5 | 5.9 |
| Houston | 6.5 | 8.5 | 7.4 |
| Arizona State | 6.3 | 6.5 | 6.0 |
| Baylor | 6.3 | 6.5 | 5.9 |